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The-profitability-of-online-services.md (6003B)


  1. ---
  2. date: 2014-10-10
  3. # vim: tw=80
  4. layout: post
  5. title: On the profitability of image hosting websites
  6. tags: [money, linkrot]
  7. ---
  8. I've been doing a lot of thought about whether or not it's even possible to both
  9. run a simple website *and* turn a profit from it *and* maintain a high quality
  10. of service. In particular, I'm thinking about image hosts, considering that I
  11. run one (a rather unprofitable one, too), but I would
  12. think that my thoughts on this matter apply to more kinds of websites. That
  13. being said, I'll just talk about media hosting because that's where I have
  14. tangible expertise.
  15. I think that all image hosts suffer from the same sad pattern of eventual
  16. failure. That pattern is:
  17. 1. Create a great image hosting website (you should stop here)
  18. 2. Decide to monetize it
  19. 3. Add advertising
  20. 4. Stop allowing hotlinking
  21. 5. Add more advertising
  22. 6. Add social tools like comments, voting - attempt build a community to look at
  23. your ads
  24. Monetization is a poison. You start realizing that you wrote a shitty website in
  25. PHP on shared hosting and it can't handle the traffic. You spend more money on
  26. it and realize you don't like spending your money on it, so you decide to
  27. monetize, and now the poison has got you. There's an extremely fine line to walk
  28. with monetization. You start wanting to make enough money to support your
  29. servers, but then you think to yourself "well, I worked hard for this, maybe I
  30. should make a living from it!" This introduces several problems.
  31. First of all, you made an image hosting website. It's already perfect. Almost
  32. anything you can think of adding will only make it worse. If you suddenly decide
  33. that you need to spend more time on it to justify taking money from it, then you
  34. have a lot of time to get things wrong. You eventually run out of the good
  35. features and start implementing the bad ones.
  36. More importantly, though, you realize that you should be making *more* money.
  37. Maybe you can turn this into a nice job working on your own website! And that
  38. means you should start a business and assign yourself a salary and start making
  39. a profit and hire new people. The money has to come from somewhere. So you make
  40. even more compromises. Eventually, people stop using your service. People start
  41. to *detest* your service. It can get so bad that people will refuse to click on
  42. any link that leads to your website. Your users will be harassed for continuing
  43. to use your site. **You fail, and everyone hates you.**
  44. This trend is observable with PhotoBucket, ImageShack, TinyPic, the list goes
  45. on. The conclusion I've drawn from this is that **it is impossible to run a
  46. profitable image hosting service without sacrificing what makes your service
  47. worthwhile**. We have arrived at a troubling place with the case of Imgur,
  48. however. MrGrim (the creator of Imgur) also identified this trend and decided
  49. to put a stop to it by building a simple image hosting service for Reddit. It
  50. had great intentions, check out the old archive.org mirror of it[^1]. With
  51. these great intentions and a great service, Imgur rose to become the 46th most
  52. popular website globally[^2], and 18th in the United States alone, on the
  53. shoulders of Reddit, which now ranks 47th. I'm going to expand upon this here,
  54. particularly with respect to Reddit, but I included the ranks here to dissuade
  55. anyone who says "there's more than Reddit out there" in response to this post.
  56. Reddit is a *huge* deal.
  57. Other image hosts died down when people recognized their problems. Imgur has
  58. reached a critical mass where that will not happen. 20% of all new Reddit posts
  59. are Imgur, and most users just don't know better than to use anything else. That
  60. being said, Imgur shows the signs of the image hosting poison. They stopped
  61. being an image hosting website and became their own community. They added
  62. advertising, which is fine on its own, but then they started redirecting direct
  63. links[^3] to pages with ads. And still, their userbase is just as strong,
  64. despite better alternatives appearing.
  65. I'm not sure what to do about Imgur. I don't like that they've won the mindshare
  66. with a staggering margin. I do know that I've tried to make my own service
  67. immune to the image hosting poison. We run it incredibly lean - we handle over
  68. 10 million HTTP requests per day on a single server that also does transcoding
  69. and storage for $200 per month. We get about $20-$30 in monthly revenue from our
  70. Project Wonderful[^4] ads, and a handful of donations that usually amount to
  71. less than $20. Fortunately, $150ish isn't a hard number to pay out of our own
  72. pockets every month, and we've made a damn good website that's extremely
  73. scalable to keep our costs low. We haven't taken seed money, and we're not
  74. really the sort to fix problems by throwing more money at it. We also won't be
  75. hiring any paid staff any time soon, so our costs are pretty much constant. On
  76. top of that, if we do fall victim to the image hosting poison, 100% of our code
  77. is open source, so the next service can skip R&D and start being awesome
  78. immediately. Even with all of that, though, all I can think of doing is sticking
  79. around until people realize that Imgur really does suck.
  80. *2017-03-07 update*
  81. * mediacru.sh shut down (out of money)
  82. * pomf.se shut down (out of money)
  83. * minus.com shut down after going down the decline described in this post
  84. I have started a private service called [sr.ht](https://sr.ht), which I aim to
  85. use to fix the problem by only letting my friends and I use it. It has
  86. controlled growth and won't get too big and too expensive. It's on Github if you
  87. want to [use it](https://github.com/SirCmpwn/sr.ht).
  88. [^1]: [Original Imgur home page](https://web.archive.org/web/20090225014924/http://imgur.com/)
  89. [^2]: [Imgur on Alexa](http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/imgur.com)
  90. [^3]: [Imgur redirects "direct" links based on referrals](https://dillpickle.github.io/imgur-please-dont-be-the-next-tinypic-or-imageshack.html)
  91. [^4]: [Project Wonderful, an advertising service that doesn't suck](https://www.projectwonderful.com/)